“An Inconvenient Study” was designed to fool the susceptible

The so-called compelling health differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated children is a favourite of the anti-vaccine movement. We can guess which group they insist is the most beset with illness and also make a sound judgement about the methodology used to form conclusions.

Simply put, using biased methodology will find that vaccines make children sick, say the anti-vaccine lobby, (just ignore its bias). Or to sound more convincing we may be told vaccinated children appear to be significantly less healthy than the unvaccinated. Such was the conclusion when a US supporter and promoter of Judy Wilyman (she “has done a great service to humanity”) ran flawed methodology over the two groups in 2020.

Judy’s mate, James Lyons-Weiler, head of the Institute of Pure and Applied Knowledge (IPAK) and paediatrician Paul Thomas, had their paper published in the anti-vaccine themed predatory journal, the International Journal of Vaccine Theory, Practice and Research. It was also published, then later withdrawn, from the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. According to Retraction Watch the authors blamed “ghouls” when it was decided their data didn’t support conclusions.

According to Lyons-Weiler a “ghoul” is one working to have studies with results they dislike, ultimately retracted. Also, it was with a certain amusement I discovered when the paper appeared, that The Australian Vaccination-risks Network had donated $5,000 USD to the project. From whence did this generous donation originate dear reader? Well, back in 2016 the AVN pulled a stunt seeking donations for a High Court challenge against No Jab No Pay legislation, claiming to have raised either $160,000 or around $152,000. Inexplicably bypassing solicitors, they seemed to have barrister fees which left them holding close to $80,000. With no evidence they spent any money on anything, the AVN promised members they’d keep what they had for future trips to the USA vaccine battles.

Zombie in tattered robe injecting glowing syringe into burning book in old library
When James Lyons-Weiler and Paul Thomas had their anti-vaccine paper withdrawn, they blamed “ghouls”.

IPAK were known for publishing misleading VAERS-data “vaccine death” hit-jobs, on mRNA vaccines, such as this during the pandemic. You know the drill: it’s not a real vaccine, believe all VAERS reports as true and conclude that the vaccine, not the virus, is responsible for deaths. Even more interesting is that the predatory International Journal of Vaccine Theory, Practice and Research, is where Julian Gillespie published his The Canaries in the Human DNA Mine. I have touched on that effort many times. Gillespie had resigned from the legal profession but was promoted as AVN’s barrister during their pandemic legal battles. He was the brains behind many of their legal failures which were followed by his own complaints against senior Federal Court identities.

To appreciate a thorough debunking of the caper Lyons-Weiler and Thomas hoped to get away with, I recommend reading this piece at Health Feedback about the “dubious metric” used to feign the existence of a vaccine-related problem impacting children’s health. Notably, the third author attribution is Children’s Health Defense, well known at the time as RFK Jr.’s reason-for-being and nifty source of income. He stepped down as chairperson in 2023 to focus on his independent run for USA President.

Finally, there is no better deconstruction of the vaccinated vs unvaccinated myth than the video put together by biologist, Dr. Dan Wilson. Wilson’s YouTube channel Debunk the Funk has contributed enormously to evidence-based refutation of the anti-vaccine movement. He focuses on trends, conspiracy theories, individuals, organisations, frauds and liars and has teamed up with others such as Professor Dave Farina to tackle antivax fiction head on.

The Inconvenient Study is the most recent scheme of ICAN’s main attraction, Del Bigtree. Del appears to play a spy in the “documentary”, wearing hidden cameras to dinner to reveal that his interlocutors agree “it’s a good study”. Nonetheless, not once did he run across crocodiles or fight science on the roof of a speeding train. Bigtree… Del Bigtree, wrote and produced Vaxxed – a film made of lies – continued with Vaxxed II and is often by Andrew Wakefield’s film-making side. Bigtree also hosts the mysterious hedge-fund manager-funded, anti-vaccine drum beat, The Highwire.

Del’s aim is to bring his misleading “experience” to coax his viewers to believe that unfair forces are preventing publication of a study. This study was done at Henry Ford Health. The researchers who completed the data did not publish the study for a very simple reason; the study did not meet rigorous scientific standards. One can conclude dear reader, that a study or research approach may be very good. Yet if ultimately it does not meet the standards expected in its methodology, it cannot be published. That is not a conspiracy.

In this case it’s pretty basic. Children who are unvaccinated don’t tend to visit conventional doctors. Alternatively, vaccinated ones do. The latter group tend to be examined by a professional and an illness may be found, even without notable symptoms. The former group might have a neck cracked, chant with crystals, drink herbs or simply pray. No illness will be found without significant symptoms or complaints from the patient. In fact 15 years ago Australian GPs warned of chiropractors peddling anti-vaccine messages. Clients of chiropractors are notably vaccine-hesitant. We need to remain vigilant.

You’re going to need 90 minutes all up but I can assure you Dan offers a serious evidence-packed debunking of what is a nasty, indeed reprehensible attempt by Bigtree’s team, to mislead those who don’t have the time, background or critical thinking skills to find their way to the truth. I hope they find their way to Dan.

You can find Dan’s well sourced response here at YouTube.

Is MAGA a Cult?

Terry Kelly is a past-president of the Australian Skeptics Victorian Branch Inc, and has an extensive background in the Melbourne Skeptics scene. He has contributed to committee activities, the organising of multiple conferences, speaking nights, conventions and more, whilst frequently being available as a speaker at Skeptics Café and Skeptics In The Pub evenings.

On April 20th this year, Terry Kelly took to the podium at the Stolberg Hotel, situated on the corner of Bell Street and Plenty Road Preston for a Skeptics Café presentation. His topic was Is MAGA a Cult? | Source Facebook | Terry has read quite a bit on the topic of cults and keeps a sharp eye on Donald Trump. Trump’s popularity has waned somewhat, but only after truly arrogant and inhumane exercise of his power in various political theatres. Still, those who adore him cannot be reasoned with. How deep is this ideology?

Terry summarises how AI tackles the cult question, reminds us of how bizarre Trump’s “spiritual advisor” can be and the role of conspiracy theory thinking being accepted as fact, within MAGA. Cults can self destruct in a reasonably short time, or go on to build size, power, influence and respect. The latter may last for decades or more. Terry even treats viewers to an account of his own brief experience with a cult, a method of depersonalisation he witnessed and what questioning accepted beliefs ultimately invites.

What type of people succeed in leading cults? Can they ever be successful? Why do they die off? What tragedies can we link to famous cults solely as a function of their beliefs and the influence of a single leader? Terry examines what makes a cult leader and considers if Trump has the right characteristics. He reminds us of what influenced Trump, including Norman Vincent Peale’s, The Power of Positive Thinking and of the critical deconstruction of Trump, Too Much and Never Enough written by his niece, psychologist Mary Trump.

There’s plenty more I haven’t touched on, and a discussion around questions. The audio volume of questions asked on the night was low, but has since been fully amplified prior to upload to Facebook. I hope viewers can enjoy them.

Speaker crying at rally while protesters hold signs saying 'MAGA is a cult' and 'Think for yourself'
The AI image above reflects what I hope awaits any possible MAGA cult

Conspiracy Theories people accept as fact… apparently

So, should it be a collection? A theorem? A grab bag? A heap? A garble? Perhaps an annoyance? That may do for the purposes of this post. An annoyance of conspiracy theories (CTs).

unhappy ai

Running through the collated knowledge of CTs, we know they’ve been around for a very long time, and reflect our awfully human ability to distrust.

Throw in some imagination that suits our own bias of how people and society function and it’s a small step to theorise about how others conspire to achieve their goals. Particularly at ones expense.

There’s been a copious amount of research into conspiracy theories and contemporary accounts tend to reference the assassination of President Kennedy, the moon landing, vaccines causing autism and more recently a host of annoyance surrounding COVID-19 the disease and the COVID-19 vaccine. Indeed, the spread and flexibility of CT rhetoric has been marvellously enhanced by the Internet and Social Media. The pandemic was of course a “plandemic”, whilst around the same time the delightfully helpful 5G technology cranking up download speeds was apparently actually spreading a man-made coronavirus.

There was no doubt such conspiracies caused harm. Whether from sabotaging individual confidence in public health, to destroying 5G towers, to nurturing dingbat thought processes, the sheer evaporation of critical thinking in relation to these topics was revealed to be stupendous. As research continued into conspiracy theories, came a fascinating piece in The Conversation just over 4 months ago. The notion that psychological distress leaves people more likely to develop or adopt conspiracy theory thinking, as a means to make sense of the cold indifference of reality, appears to benefit from further examination.

Man with glowing green eyes casting blue magical energy surrounded by conspiracy theory images

The existential threat model of conspiracy theories, as this notion is called, may not be as certain as previously elucidated. Fortunately the authors concluded that interventions involving critical thinking skills have a welcome role in combating the tendency to accept the flawed reasoning that conspiracy theories offer genuine understanding of our world.

happy ai

Nonetheless, if we have discovered one alarming piece of information it is both the number of people who certain accept conspiracy theories, and the number of conspiracy theories migrating across cyberspace for the taking. As this month came to a close AOL published 50 Totally Insane Conspiracies People Actually Believe And Can’t Stop Talking About, which also links to this piece by BoredPanda with some truly silly notions about what and why a conspiracy theory is.

I myself could come up with a few conspiracies about either article. “America’s turning into 1940s Germany”, is perhaps on equal par with making the country “great again”. “AI is being made to look so real so that we can’t trust anything we see in the future”, may not be a conspiracy theory at all for cat-video lovers. Of course the BoredPanda chuckle-conspiracy theories may actually be an attempt by Big Psychology to plunge us all into depression at the thought this is what passes as humour.

Still, one thing is for sure. Once Epstein moves aside we will have more of that mere 10% of the brain that we actually use (ahem), to waste terabytes of social media and A.I. on new-found conspiracy theories.